Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002047 0.002193 0.002344 0.002513 0.002697 0.002890 0.003111
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001851 0.002056 0.002277 0.002535 0.002829 0.003155 0.003543
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001697 0.001938 0.002209 0.002536 0.002922 0.003366 0.003918
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001582 0.001851 0.002160 0.002545 0.003015 0.003573 0.004292
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001474 0.001758 0.002094 0.002523 0.003061 0.003719 0.004594
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001387 0.001684 0.002042 0.002510 0.003112 0.003867 0.004902
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001295 0.001597 0.001967 0.002461 0.003109 0.003943 0.005114
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001228 0.001535 0.001919 0.002440 0.003139 0.004058 0.005382
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001136 0.001437 0.001818 0.002344 0.003062 0.004023 0.005436
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001115 0.001430 0.001834 0.002403 0.003193 0.004276 0.005907
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001088 0.001412 0.001835 0.002439 0.003295 0.004491 0.006335
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001087 0.001428 0.001881 0.002538 0.003489 0.004846 0.006991
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001033 0.001373 0.001832 0.002510 0.003508 0.004963 0.007318
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000985 0.001325 0.001790 0.002488 0.003536 0.005095 0.007682
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000942 0.001281 0.001753 0.002471 0.003568 0.005235 0.008067
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000908 0.001249 0.001729 0.002472 0.003628 0.005420 0.008540
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000869 0.001208 0.001690 0.002447 0.003645 0.005537 0.008907
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000837 0.001174 0.001660 0.002434 0.003678 0.005680 0.009325
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000797 0.001128 0.001609 0.002386 0.003652 0.005723 0.009570
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000767 0.001095 0.001578 0.002366 0.003670 0.005840 0.009956
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000721 0.001036 0.001503 0.002273 0.003561 0.005734 0.009920
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000714 0.001036 0.001521 0.002329 0.003706 0.006075 0.010754
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000703 0.001029 0.001525 0.002364 0.003816 0.006361 0.011506